Canadian respiratory virus surveillance report (CRVSR): About this report
Definitions, data sources, indicators, and technical notes to help interpret and understand the data presented in the CRVSR.
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On this page
- Introduction
- General interpretation notes
- Data sources and coverage
- Activity level methods New
- Surveillance definitions and indicators
- Data stream-specific technical notes
- Provincial, territorial, and international report links
Introduction
The Canadian respiratory virus surveillance report, produced by the FluWatch+ surveillance program, offers a weekly overview of key trends in respiratory viruses, such as influenza (flu), COVID-19, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in Canada.
The FluWatch+ surveillance system receives surveillance data from multiple sources and is made possible through the collaboration of numerous partners across Canada. To learn more about the FluWatch+ surveillance system see the Overview of respiratory monitoring in Canada page.
Each tab in this report contains different information. The "Snapshot" tab contains high level combined trends for COVID-19, influenza, RSV, and other seasonal respiratory viruses. More detailed trends on COVID-19, influenza and RSV can be found on the individual virus tabs. The “Explore the data” tab allows users to download weekly surveillance datasets and choose different views of the data not found in the existing tabs.
General interpretation notes
- Surveillance data reported in the Canadian Respiratory Virus Surveillance Report is used to monitor trends in respiratory virus activity throughout the surveillance period. This includes where and when viruses are circulating, which viruses are present, who is most affected and whether activity is increasing or decreasing. These data are an underestimate and are not intended to reflect the true number of cases of respiratory virus diseases in Canada.
- Due to variations in how data are reported, indicators for COVID-19, influenza and RSV may not be directly comparable. Where data for each virus are presented separately, comparisons between the viruses should be made with caution.
- The data in the Canadian Respiratory Virus Surveillance Report represent surveillance data that are available at the time of writing. Surveillance partners are encouraged to update previously submitted data throughout the surveillance period. All data are preliminary and may change as more reports are received throughout the surveillance period.
- The FluWatch+ program refers to time in surveillance weeks. This allows for the comparison of historical data (e.g. comparing data from week 45 in the 2021-22 period to week 45 of the 2019-2020 period). Data are aggregated by surveillance weeks that run from Sunday to Saturday.
- The surveillance period begins in week 35 of a calendar year (end of August) and ends in week 34 of the following calendar year (end of August). A calendar of surveillance weeks for the current period is available online for reference.
- What do the arrows mean? The arrows (up, down,
or stable) show the overall trend for each surveillance indicator.
These trends are based on a weekly data, averaged over 4 weeks to
smooth out short-term changes/variation (4 week rolling average).
The value that defines a change in trend varies depending on the
indicator.
- Laboratory data:
- Most respiratory viruses: If the percentage of positive tests changes by 0.5% or more from the previous week, the arrow will show an increase or decrease; otherwise a stable trend is assigned.
- Adenovirus and entero/rhinovirus only: If the percentage of positive tests changes by 1% or more from the previous week, the arrow will show an increase or decrease; otherwise a stable trend is assigned.
- Hospitalizations: If the rate of positive tests changes by 5% or more from the previous week, the arrow will show an increase or decrease; otherwise a stable trend is assigned.
- Outbreaks: If the number of outbreaks changes by 5% or more from the previous week, the arrow will show an increase or decrease; otherwise a stable trend is assigned.
- FluWatchers: If the percentage of participants reporting cough and fever changes by 0.1% or more, the arrow will show an increase or decrease; otherwise a stable trend is assigned.
- Laboratory data:
Data sources and coverage
| Data stream | Data source | Coverage (Number of participating provinces and territories) |
|---|---|---|
| Aggregate laboratory confirmed detections |
|
COVID-19, Influenza and RSV: 13 out of 13 PTs |
| Case-level laboratory detections | Some of the RVDSS provincial, territorial and regional public health laboratories provide age information for COVID-19, influenza and RSV detections. |
|
| Genetic and antigenic characterization of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, including antiviral resistance | The National Microbiology Laboratory Branch (NMLB) provides data on the genetic and antigenic characterization of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza isolates, as well as their susceptibility to antiviral agents. NML receives a proportion of positive isolates from participating provinces and territories. | Not applicable. |
| Activity levels | Activity levels are derived based on percent positivity indicator. | 100% coverage across PTs for all three viruses. |
| FluWatchers | Volunteer participants in all provinces and territories | There are volunteers reporting from all PTs across Canada. Further information on number of participants reporting per week by PT can be found in the FluWatchers report. |
| Outbreaks | Outbreaks of test-confirmed COVID-19, influenza and RSV in high-risk settings are reported from varying provincial and territorial ministries of health. |
|
| PTSOS (Provincial and Territorial Severe Outcome Surveillance) | Hospitalizations, ICU admissions and deaths associated with COVID-19, influenza (influenza type/subtype), or RSV by age or age group are reported by varying provincial/territorial ministries of health, depending on the virus. |
COVID-19:
|
| Pediatric severe outcomes | The SPRINT-KIDS sentinel pediatric (≤18 years) hospital network provides severe outcome monitoring in both the emergency department and inpatient facilities across Canada for COVID-19, influenza and RSV. This network reports detailed case-level information on pediatric hospitalizations, ICU admissions and deaths attributable to COVID-19, influenza or RSV. |
15 pediatric hospitals across 8 provinces in Canada (all provinces except New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island). |
Activity level methods New
As of September 2026, FluWatch+ has implemented new methods for deriving activity levels for influenza, COVID-19, and RSV. These methods provide a consistent national approach for classifying respiratory virus circulation across Canada on a weekly basis, based on the data available at the time.
They support comparability across provinces and territories and across viruses throughout the surveillance period. The national activity levels are intended to support national reporting and do not replace or supersede provincial and territorial methods, which may be tailored to local surveillance data, epidemiology, and public health response needs.
Activity levels for influenza, COVID-19 and RSV are derived by applying a method adapted from the Moving Epidemic Method (MEM) to the percent positivity (laboratory) indicator for each virus. The MEM is a statistical method used to identify seasonal epidemic periods and classify disease intensity based on historical surveillance data. It uses data from previous seasons to establish cut points that distinguish different levels of activity, with intensity thresholds derived from peak weekly values during historical epidemic periods.
Modifications to MEM
The following modifications were applied to MEM method in order to adapt it to the Canadian context and use it to categorize how respiratory virus activity evolves throughout the surveillance period.
| Modification | Standard MEM approach | Modified approach |
|---|---|---|
| Determination of the low cut point value | The lowest cut‑point is statistically derived by establishing historical periods of epidemic activity and calculating the cut-point based on the highest pre/post‑epidemic values. | The lowest cut‑point is empirically selected based on its ability to: capture a high proportion of detections/hospitalizations; delineate in‑ and out‑of‑season activity so pooled values reflect periods of active circulation; and minimize fluctuations in weekly activity levels. |
| Values used to calculate activity level cut points | Pools only the highest weekly values from each historical season. | Expands the pooled values to include all in‑season observations, defined as values exceeding the lowest cut‑point. |
| High and very high cut points | Typically uses the 90th percentile (High) and 97.5th percentile (Very high) of pooled peak values. | Uses the 80th percentile (High) and 95th percentile (Very high) of pooled values. Under the standard MEM, the use of higher percentile levels and inclusion of only the highest seasonal values results in very few seasons reaching High levels. The modified approach better reflects the range of in-season activity. |
Activity level cut point values
Laboratory percent‑positivity data from the post‑pandemic seasons of 2022–2023 to 2025–2026 were used to derive the activity‑level cut‑point values. Percent positivity and trends vary by jurisdictions, so the cut-points are different for Canada overall and for each province and territory.
Although activity levels used in this report are designed to support comparability across jurisdictions, differences in testing practices, particularly populations tested, may influence percent positivity and the resulting activity levels. These differences should be considered when interpreting comparisons across jurisdictions.
Additionally, these national activity levels may differ from levels reported by provinces and territories, which may use methods tailored to their local surveillance data, epidemiology, and response needs. Differences between federal and provincial/territorial activity levels are expected and should be interpreted in the context of the distinct methodologies and objectives used to assess respiratory virus activity.
Activity‑level methods will be reviewed every year to adjust for additional historical data, performance assessments, and impacts to laboratory testing data.
Activity level values, 2026-2027 surveillance period
Influenza
| Jurisdiction | Low | Moderate | High | Very high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 5.0% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 27.9% |
| BC | 5.0% | 9.8% | 17.8% | 27.5% |
| AB | 5.0% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 28.9% |
| SK | 5.0% | 11.7% | 22.9% | 37.6% |
| MB | 5.0% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 29.1% |
| ON | 5.0% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 29.1% |
| QC | 5.0% | 11.3% | 21.3% | 33.9% |
| NB | 5.0% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 29.8% |
| NS | 5.0% | 11.5% | 19.4% | 28.6% |
| PE | 5.0% | 14.8% | 26.1% | 39.6% |
| NL | 5.0% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 31.7% |
| YT | 5.0% | 12.2% | 23.5% | 37.9% |
| NT | 5.0% | 14.0% | 27.4% | 45.1% |
| NU | 5.0% | 14.3% | 30.0% | 51.7% |
RSV
| Jurisdiction | Low | Moderate | High | Very high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 2.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.7% |
| BC | 2.0% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 13.5% |
| AB | 2.0% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 14.9% |
| SK | 2.0% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 19.1% |
| MB | 2.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% |
| ON | 2.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% |
| QC | 2.0% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 14.0% |
| NB | 2.0% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 14.3% |
| NS | 2.0% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 12.6% |
| PE | 2.0% | 5.5% | 12.1% | 21.7% |
| NL | 2.0% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 12.1% |
| YT | 2.0% | 5.6% | 10.5% | 16.5% |
| NT | 2.0% | 7.7% | 18.3% | 34.3% |
| NU | 2.0% | 6.6% | 15.4% | 28.8% |
COVID-19
| Jurisdiction | Low | Moderate | High | Very high |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada | 5.0% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 19.6% |
| BC | 5.0% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 19.7% |
| AB | 5.0% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 18.9% |
| SK | 5.0% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% |
| MB | 5.0% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 23.8% |
| ON | 5.0% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 19.6% |
| QC | 5.0% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 22.0% |
| NB | 5.0% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 20.1% |
| NS | 5.0% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 27.9% |
| PE | 5.0% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 27.0% |
| NL | 5.0% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 24.7% |
| YT | 3.0% | 6.8% | 12.0% | 18.3% |
| NT | 3.0% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 19.8% |
| NU | 3.0% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 13.9% |
Surveillance definitions and indicators
| Data stream | Definitions | Indicators | Indicator calculations |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laboratory detections (includes aggregate and case-level) |
|
Aggregate:
|
Numerator: weekly number of virus detections Denominator: total weekly number of specimen tested |
Case-level:
|
Not applicable | ||
| Genetic and antigenic characterization of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, including antiviral resistance | SARS-CoV-2 variant: All viruses change over time, including SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19 disease. These changes are called mutations and viruses with mutations are called variants. | Not applicable | Not applicable |
| FluWatchers | Not applicable | Weekly percentage of FluWatchers participants reporting cough and fever. | Numerator: weekly number of participants reporting cough and fever. Denominator: total weekly participants reporting. |
| Outbreaks |
Outbreak settings:
|
Cumulative and weekly number of test-confirmed outbreaks by setting. | Not applicable |
| PTSOS (Provincial and Territorial Severe Outcome Surveillance) |
|
Weekly and cumulative COVID-19, influenza or RSV associated hospitalization rates per 100,000 population. | Numerator: number of COVID-19, influenza, or RSV associated hospitalizations Denominator: sum of population of reporting provinces and territories |
| Pediatric severe outcomes |
|
Cumulative and weekly number of pediatric hospitalizations, ICU admissions and deaths by age group. | Not applicable |
Data stream-specific technical notes
| Data stream | Technical notes |
|---|---|
| Laboratory detections (includes aggregate and case-level data) |
|
| Genetic and antigenic characterization of SARS-CoV-2 |
|
| FluWatchers | Not applicable |
| Outbreaks |
|
| PTSOS (Provincial and Territorial Severe Outcome Surveillance) | Not all provinces and territories provide severe outcomes data for all viruses. Read more in the data source and coverage section. |
| Pediatric severe outcomes | Not applicable |
Provincial, territorial, and international report links
Provinces and Territories
International
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